Bitcoin Bear Market Confirmed: Essential BTC Price Levels to Watch Next

By: crypto insight|2025/11/06 21:00:05

Key Takeaways

Bitcoin’s recent drop signals a shift into a bear market, backed by onchain data showing reduced bullish leverage and increased risk aversion.
Key support levels for BTC include the psychological $100,000 mark, with potential further declines to $98,000 or even $95,000 if breached.
Onchain indicators like declining funding rates and rising stablecoin dominance suggest a macro downtrend, similar to patterns in previous cycles.
Long-term holders selling and short-term holders capitulating could push prices as low as $72,000 in a worst-case scenario.
Traders should monitor liquidity clusters and technical patterns for signs of reversal, while platforms like WEEX offer reliable tools for navigating volatile markets.

Imagine sitting at the edge of a rollercoaster track, watching the cars plummet after a thrilling climb. That’s a bit like what’s happening with Bitcoin right now. Just when it seemed like the cryptocurrency king was unstoppable, hitting highs that made headlines, the mood has shifted. Prices have tumbled, and whispers of a bear market are turning into full-blown declarations from analysts. If you’re holding BTC or thinking about dipping in, this moment feels pivotal. Let’s dive into what’s going on, why it’s happening, and what price levels you should keep an eye on next. We’ll break it down in a way that feels real, like chatting over coffee about your portfolio, while weaving in the latest buzz from Google searches and Twitter discussions to give you the full picture.

Bitcoin has always been a wild ride, hasn’t it? One day it’s soaring toward the moon, the next it’s testing your nerves with sharp drops. Recently, BTC traded about 20% below its all-time high of $126,000, and that’s not just a blip—key onchain and technical indicators are pointing to a new bear market phase. This isn’t speculation; it’s grounded in data from reliable sources that track everything from trading volumes to holder behaviors. As we explore this, think of it like a weather forecast for your investments: stormy skies ahead, but with clear markers to guide you through.

Understanding the Bitcoin Bear Market Shift

Picture Bitcoin as a bustling marketplace where buyers and sellers are constantly negotiating. Lately, the sellers have gained the upper hand, pushing prices down to four-month lows around $98,900. This happened on a Tuesday that felt like a wake-up call for many traders. Analysts are now saying BTC is transitioning into a bear market, and the evidence is stacking up. For instance, private wealth managers have noted that risk-off signals are destabilizing amid intensified selling pressure. Their indicators show we’re still in a low-risk zone, but a shift to high-risk could mean a structural change—not just a quick dip, but a longer downtrend.

To make this relatable, compare it to a game of musical chairs. When the music stops (or in this case, when bullish momentum fades), not everyone finds a seat. Onchain data reveals that monthly funding paid by longs in Bitcoin perpetuals has dropped sharply—by about 62%, from $338 million per month in mid-August to $127 million per month as of that Tuesday. This drop signals that traders are less willing to maintain long positions, which often happens right before major price tops. It’s like the crowd thinning out at a party, hinting that the good times might be winding down.

Analysts like Mikybull Crypto have gone as far as declaring the bear market “confirmed” in social media posts. They pointed to the breakout of USDT market dominance from an inverse head-and-shoulders pattern on the weekly chart. In past cycles, similar formations led to prolonged bear phases. Why does this matter? Rising USDT dominance means more people are parking their money in stablecoins, a sign of risk aversion. It’s capital fleeing from volatile assets like BTC, which typically pressures prices downward. Imagine investors swapping their fast cars for sturdy trucks during a storm—practical, but not exciting for growth.

This isn’t isolated; it’s part of a broader narrative. Glassnode, a go-to for onchain insights, highlighted how Bitcoin has fallen below the short-term holders’ cost basis around $113,000. Historically, this has kicked off mid-term bearish phases as newer buyers start selling at a loss, or capitulating. The price has even lost support at the 85th percentile cost basis near $109,000, with the next key level at the 75th percentile around $99,000. These levels have provided a floor during past pullbacks, acting like safety nets in a trapeze act.

Key BTC Price Levels to Monitor in This Bear Phase

Now, let’s get practical. If you’re watching your charts or setting alerts on a platform like WEEX, which is known for its user-friendly interface and robust security in volatile times, you’ll want to focus on specific price points. The latest sell-off shaved 20% off Bitcoin’s peak above $126,000, establishing a new trading range on shorter time frames. Traders are eyeing supports below, and for good reason—these could dictate whether this is a brief correction or a deeper dive.

First up is the psychological powerhouse at $100,000. It’s not just a round number; it’s a mental barrier for many. Think of it as the 100-meter dash finish line—breaking it can either energize or deflate the crowd. Right now, it’s holding as the main support, but a daily close below could spell trouble, potentially driving prices toward $72,000 if long-term holders keep selling and short-term ones continue to bail.

Digging deeper, Bitcoin dipped to $98,900, echoing the lows from a June event tied to Middle Eastern tensions. Trader Daan Crypto Trades noted that BTC broke below its October 10 low, which sent it to $103,500 during a broader crypto crash. That October day was chaotic, like a sudden market thunderstorm, and now $98,000 stands as the last major level before revisiting those June depths.

Looking at liquidation heatmaps adds another layer. These tools show where leveraged positions cluster, like hotspots on a treasure map. There’s a heavy concentration near $98,000, marked by potential liquidation squeezes. If that level cracks, it could force short sellers to cover, pushing prices down to $95,000 where the next big cluster waits. On the flip side, resistance is building around $102,500, with asks piling up between $103,000 and $105,000. Breaking through there might signal a rebound, but in this bearish setup, it’s like swimming against the current.

To back this up, consider historical parallels. In previous bear markets, similar onchain shifts—like declining speculative appetite—preceded extended downturns. For example, when funding rates cooled off in past cycles, it often marked the start of months-long consolidations. This time, with Bitcoin showing exhaustion, some analysts doubt a quick return to $125,000 highs in 2025. It’s a reminder that markets aren’t linear; they’re more like ocean waves, building and crashing in rhythms we can learn to read.

Latest Updates and Social Buzz on Bitcoin’s Bear Market

As of November 6, 2025, at 12:57:44, the conversation around Bitcoin’s bear market is heating up across platforms. On Google, some of the most frequently searched questions include “Is Bitcoin in a bear market now?” “What are the next BTC price targets?” and “How to trade Bitcoin in a downtrend?” These queries reflect widespread anxiety and curiosity, with people seeking strategies to protect their investments. Searches for “Bitcoin bear market survival tips” have surged, often leading to discussions on diversification and using reliable exchanges like WEEX, which emphasizes secure trading environments and educational resources to help users navigate turbulence.

Over on Twitter (now X), the topic is dominating feeds. Hashtags like #BitcoinBearMarket and #BTCDowntrend are trending, with users sharing charts and predictions. A recent post from a prominent analyst echoed earlier sentiments: “Bear market vibes intensifying—USDT dominance breakout could mean more pain for BTC.” This aligns with official announcements from onchain platforms, where updates as of today confirm funding rates remain suppressed, hovering around similar lows. Another hot topic is the role of institutional selling; tweets are buzzing about how long-term holders offloading could extend the downtrend, with some users comparing it to the 2022 crash for context.

In a fresh development today, a Twitter thread from a crypto influencer highlighted potential catalysts, like upcoming economic data that might influence Fed policies, indirectly affecting BTC. They noted, “If inflation ticks up, expect more risk-off in crypto—watch those $98K levels closely.” This mirrors broader discussions on how global events, from geopolitical tensions to regulatory shifts, are amplifying bearish pressures. It’s fascinating how these online conversations create a real-time pulse, much like a town’s gossip mill, keeping everyone in the loop.

Why This Matters for Traders and How WEEX Fits In

Stepping back, why should you care about all this? Well, if you’re in the crypto space, understanding these shifts is like having a map in unfamiliar territory. A bear market isn’t the end—it’s often a reset, clearing out weak hands and setting up for future bulls. Compare it to a forest fire: destructive at first, but it rejuvenates the ecosystem. Evidence from past cycles shows that after such phases, Bitcoin has roared back stronger, rewarding patient holders.

For those actively trading, platforms matter. WEEX stands out here with its commitment to transparency and user protection, offering features like advanced charting and low-fee trading that make monitoring these price levels straightforward. It’s not about hype; it’s about reliability in uncertain times, helping you align your strategies with market realities. Imagine WEEX as your sturdy backpack on a hike—packed with essentials to weather the storm.

To simplify the complex onchain world, think of it as peering into a car’s engine. Indicators like funding rates are the gauges telling you if it’s overheating. Right now, they’re flashing warnings, supported by data showing a 62% drop in bullish leverage. This isn’t guesswork; it’s patterns repeated across cycles, giving credibility to the bear market call.

As we wrap this up, remember that markets evolve, and staying informed is your best tool. Whether Bitcoin holds at $100,000 or tests lower supports, the key is adapting. It’s a thrilling, sometimes nerve-wracking journey, but with the right insights, you can navigate it confidently.

FAQ

Is Bitcoin officially in a bear market as of 2025?

Yes, based on recent onchain data and technical patterns like the USDT dominance breakout, analysts confirm Bitcoin has entered a bear market phase, marked by a 20% drop from its all-time high.

What are the key support levels for BTC right now?

The main supports to watch are $100,000 as a psychological level, followed by $98,000 from June lows, and potentially $95,000 if liquidations cascade.

How does rising USDT dominance affect Bitcoin prices?

Rising USDT dominance indicates risk aversion, with capital shifting to stablecoins, which typically pressures BTC prices downward in the short term.

Can Bitcoin recover quickly from this downtrend?

While historical patterns show recoveries after bear phases, current indicators suggest exhaustion, making a quick rebound to $125,000 unlikely in 2025 without major catalysts.

How should traders prepare for a Bitcoin bear market?

Focus on risk management, monitor onchain data, and use reliable platforms like WEEX for secure trading; consider diversification to weather potential further declines.

Foreword: Today, the People's Bank of China's website published the "Notice of the People's Bank of China, National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Ministry of Public Security, State Administration for Market Regulation, China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, China Securities Regulatory Commission, State Administration of Foreign Exchange on Further Preventing and Dealing with Risks Related to Virtual Currency and Others (Yinfa [2026] No. 42)", the latest regulatory requirements from the eight departments including the central bank, which are basically consistent with the regulatory requirements of recent years. The main focus of the regulation is on speculative activities such as virtual currency trading, exchanges, ICOs, overseas platform services, and this time, regulatory oversight of RWA has been added, explicitly prohibiting RWA tokenization, stablecoins (especially those pegged to the RMB). The following is the full text:

To the people's governments of all provinces, autonomous regions, and municipalities directly under the Central Government, the Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps:

Recently, there have been speculative activities related to virtual currency and Real-World Assets (RWA) tokenization, disrupting the economic and financial order and jeopardizing the property security of the people. In order to further prevent and address the risks related to virtual currency and Real-World Assets tokenization, effectively safeguard national security and social stability, in accordance with the "Law of the People's Republic of China on the People's Bank of China," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Commercial Banks," "Securities Law of the People's Republic of China," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Securities Investment Funds," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Futures and Derivatives," "Cybersecurity Law of the People's Republic of China," "Regulations of the People's Republic of China on the Administration of Renminbi," "Regulations on Prevention and Disposal of Illegal Fundraising," "Regulations of the People's Republic of China on Foreign Exchange Administration," "Telecommunications Regulations of the People's Republic of China," and other provisions, after reaching consensus with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, and with the approval of the State Council, the relevant matters are notified as follows:

I. Clarify the essential attributes of virtual currency, Real-World Assets tokenization, and related business activities

(I) Virtual currency does not possess the legal status equivalent to fiat currency. Virtual currencies such as Bitcoin, Ether, Tether, etc., have the main characteristics of being issued by non-monetary authorities, using encryption technology and distributed ledger or similar technology, existing in digital form, etc. They do not have legal tender status, should not and cannot be circulated and used as currency in the market.

The business activities related to virtual currency are classified as illegal financial activities. The exchange of fiat currency and virtual currency within the territory, exchange of virtual currencies, acting as a central counterparty in buying and selling virtual currencies, providing information intermediary and pricing services for virtual currency transactions, token issuance financing, and trading of virtual currency-related financial products, etc., fall under illegal financial activities, such as suspected illegal issuance of token vouchers, unauthorized public issuance of securities, illegal operation of securities and futures business, illegal fundraising, etc., are strictly prohibited across the board and resolutely banned in accordance with the law. Overseas entities and individuals are not allowed to provide virtual currency-related services to domestic entities in any form.

A stablecoin pegged to a fiat currency indirectly fulfills some functions of the fiat currency in circulation. Without the consent of relevant authorities in accordance with the law and regulations, any domestic or foreign entity or individual is not allowed to issue a RMB-pegged stablecoin overseas.

（II）Tokenization of Real-World Assets refers to the use of encryption technology and distributed ledger or similar technologies to transform ownership rights, income rights, etc., of assets into tokens (tokens) or other interests or bond certificates with token (token) characteristics, and carry out issuance and trading activities.

Engaging in the tokenization of real-world assets domestically, as well as providing related intermediary, information technology services, etc., which are suspected of illegal issuance of token vouchers, unauthorized public offering of securities, illegal operation of securities and futures business, illegal fundraising, and other illegal financial activities, shall be prohibited; except for relevant business activities carried out with the approval of the competent authorities in accordance with the law and regulations and relying on specific financial infrastructures. Overseas entities and individuals are not allowed to illegally provide services related to the tokenization of real-world assets to domestic entities in any form.

II. Sound Work Mechanism

(III) Inter-agency Coordination. The People's Bank of China, together with the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Public Security, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other departments, will improve the work mechanism, strengthen coordination with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, coordinate efforts, and overall guide regions to carry out risk prevention and disposal of virtual currency-related illegal financial activities.

The China Securities Regulatory Commission, together with the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Public Security, the People's Bank of China, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other departments, will improve the work mechanism, strengthen coordination with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, coordinate efforts, and overall guide regions to carry out risk prevention and disposal of illegal financial activities related to the tokenization of real-world assets.

(IV) Strengthening Local Implementation. The people's governments at the provincial level are overall responsible for the prevention and disposal of risks related to virtual currencies and the tokenization of real-world assets in their respective administrative regions. The specific leading department is the local financial regulatory department, with participation from branches and dispatched institutions of the State Council's financial regulatory department, telecommunications regulators, public security, market supervision, and other departments, in coordination with cyberspace departments, courts, and procuratorates, to improve the normalization of the work mechanism, effectively connect with the relevant work mechanisms of central departments, form a cooperative and coordinated working pattern between central and local governments, effectively prevent and properly handle risks related to virtual currencies and the tokenization of real-world assets, and maintain economic and financial order and social stability.

III. Strengthened Risk Monitoring, Prevention, and Disposal

(5) Enhanced Risk Monitoring. The People's Bank of China, China Securities Regulatory Commission, National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Ministry of Public Security, State Administration of Foreign Exchange, Cyberspace Administration of China, and other departments continue to improve monitoring techniques and system support, enhance cross-departmental data analysis and sharing, establish sound information sharing and cross-validation mechanisms, promptly grasp the risk situation of activities related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization. Local governments at all levels give full play to the role of local monitoring and early warning mechanisms. Local financial regulatory authorities, together with branches and agencies of the State Council's financial regulatory authorities, as well as departments of cyberspace and public security, ensure effective connection between online monitoring, offline investigation, and fund tracking, efficiently and accurately identify activities related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization, promptly share risk information, improve early warning information dissemination, verification, and rapid response mechanisms.

(6) Strengthened Oversight of Financial Institutions, Intermediaries, and Technology Service Providers. Financial institutions (including non-bank payment institutions) are prohibited from providing account opening, fund transfer, and clearing services for virtual currency-related business activities, issuing and selling financial products related to virtual currency, including virtual currency and related financial products in the scope of collateral, conducting insurance business related to virtual currency, or including virtual currency in the scope of insurance liability. Financial institutions (including non-bank payment institutions) are prohibited from providing custody, clearing, and settlement services for unauthorized real-world asset tokenization-related business and related financial products. Relevant intermediary institutions and information technology service providers are prohibited from providing intermediary, technical, or other services for unauthorized real-world asset tokenization-related businesses and related financial products.

(7) Enhanced Management of Internet Information Content and Access. Internet enterprises are prohibited from providing online business venues, commercial displays, marketing, advertising, or paid traffic diversion services for virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization-related business activities. Upon discovering clues of illegal activities, they should promptly report to relevant departments and provide technical support and assistance for related investigations and inquiries. Based on the clues transferred by the financial regulatory authorities, the cyberspace administration, telecommunications authorities, and public security departments should promptly close and deal with websites, mobile applications (including mini-programs), and public accounts engaged in virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization-related business activities in accordance with the law.

(8) Strengthened Entity Registration and Advertisement Management. Market supervision departments strengthen entity registration and management, and enterprise and individual business registrations must not contain terms such as "virtual currency," "virtual asset," "cryptocurrency," "crypto asset," "stablecoin," "real-world asset tokenization," or "RWA" in their names or business scopes. Market supervision departments, together with financial regulatory authorities, legally enhance the supervision of advertisements related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization, promptly investigating and handling relevant illegal advertisements.

（IX） Continued Rectification of Virtual Currency Mining Activities. The National Development and Reform Commission, together with relevant departments, strictly controls virtual currency mining activities, continuously promotes the rectification of virtual currency mining activities. The people's governments of various provinces take overall responsibility for the rectification of "mining" within their respective administrative regions. In accordance with the requirements of the National Development and Reform Commission and other departments in the "Notice on the Rectification of Virtual Currency Mining Activities" (NDRC Energy-saving Building [2021] No. 1283) and the provisions of the "Guidance Catalog for Industrial Structure Adjustment (2024 Edition)," a comprehensive review, investigation, and closure of existing virtual currency mining projects are conducted, new mining projects are strictly prohibited, and mining machine production enterprises are strictly prohibited from providing mining machine sales and other services within the country.

（X） Severe Crackdown on Related Illegal Financial Activities. Upon discovering clues to illegal financial activities related to virtual currency and the tokenization of real-world assets, local financial regulatory authorities, branches of the State Council's financial regulatory authorities, and other relevant departments promptly investigate, determine, and properly handle the issues in accordance with the law, and seriously hold the relevant entities and individuals legally responsible. Those suspected of crimes are transferred to the judicial authorities for processing according to the law.

（XI） Severe Crackdown on Related Illegal and Criminal Activities. The Ministry of Public Security, the People's Bank of China, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, as well as judicial and procuratorial organs, in accordance with their respective responsibilities, rigorously crack down on illegal and criminal activities related to virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, such as fraud, money laundering, illegal business operations, pyramid schemes, illegal fundraising, and other illegal and criminal activities carried out under the guise of virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, etc.

（XII） Strengthen Industry Self-discipline. Relevant industry associations should enhance membership management and policy advocacy, based on their own responsibilities, advocate and urge member units to resist illegal financial activities related to virtual currency and the tokenization of real-world assets. Member units that violate regulatory policies and industry self-discipline rules are to be disciplined in accordance with relevant self-regulatory management regulations. By leveraging various industry infrastructure, conduct risk monitoring related to virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, and promptly transfer issue clues to relevant departments.

IV. Strict Supervision of Domestic Entities Engaging in Overseas Business Activities

（XIII） Without the approval of relevant departments in accordance with the law and regulations, domestic entities and foreign entities controlled by them may not issue virtual currency overseas.

（XIV） Domestic entities engaging directly or indirectly in overseas external debt-based tokenization of real-world assets, or conducting asset securitization activities abroad based on domestic ownership rights, income rights, etc. (hereinafter referred to as domestic equity), should be strictly regulated in accordance with the principles of "same business, same risk, same rules." The National Development and Reform Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other relevant departments regulate it according to their respective responsibilities. For other forms of overseas real-world asset tokenization activities based on domestic equity by domestic entities, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, together with relevant departments, supervise according to their division of responsibilities. Without the consent and filing of relevant departments, no unit or individual may engage in the above-mentioned business.

(15) Overseas subsidiaries and branches of domestic financial institutions providing Real World Asset Tokenization-related services overseas shall do so legally and prudently. They shall have professional personnel and systems in place to effectively mitigate business risks, strictly implement customer onboarding, suitability management, anti-money laundering requirements, and incorporate them into the domestic financial institutions' compliance and risk management system. Intermediaries and information technology service providers offering Real World Asset Tokenization services abroad based on domestic equity or conducting Real World Asset Tokenization business in the form of overseas debt for domestic entities directly or indirectly venturing abroad must strictly comply with relevant laws and regulations. They should establish and improve relevant compliance and internal control systems in accordance with relevant normative requirements, strengthen business and risk control, and report the business developments to the relevant regulatory authorities for approval or filing.

V. Strengthen Organizational Implementation

(16) Strengthen organizational leadership and overall coordination. All departments and regions should attach great importance to the prevention of risks related to virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization, strengthen organizational leadership, clarify work responsibilities, form a long-term effective working mechanism with centralized coordination, local implementation, and shared responsibilities, maintain high pressure, dynamically monitor risks, effectively prevent and mitigate risks in an orderly and efficient manner, legally protect the property security of the people, and make every effort to maintain economic and financial order and social stability.

(17) Widely carry out publicity and education. All departments, regions, and industry associations should make full use of various media and other communication channels to disseminate information through legal and policy interpretation, analysis of typical cases, and education on investment risks, etc. They should promote the illegality and harm of virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization-related businesses and their manifestations, fully alert to potential risks and hidden dangers, and enhance public awareness and identification capabilities for risk prevention.

VI. Legal Responsibility

(18) Engaging in illegal financial activities related to virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization in violation of this notice, as well as providing services for virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization-related businesses, shall be punished in accordance with relevant regulations. If it constitutes a crime, criminal liability shall be pursued according to the law. For domestic entities and individuals who knowingly or should have known that overseas entities illegally provided virtual currency or Real World Asset Tokenization-related services to domestic entities and still assisted them, relevant responsibilities shall be pursued according to the law. If it constitutes a crime, criminal liability shall be pursued according to the law.

(19) If any unit or individual invests in virtual currencies, Real World Asset Tokens, and related financial products against public order and good customs, the relevant civil legal actions shall be invalid, and any resulting losses shall be borne by them. If there are suspicions of disrupting financial order and jeopardizing financial security, the relevant departments shall deal with them according to the law.

This notice shall enter into force upon the date of its issuance. The People's Bank of China and ten other departments' "Notice on Further Preventing and Dealing with the Risks of Virtual Currency Trading Speculation" (Yinfa [2021] No. 237) is hereby repealed.

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