Bitcoin LTH Supply Drop Signals Possible Market Top
By: defi-planet|2025/05/15 19:45:05
0
Share
A recent decline in Bitcoin’s long-term holder (LTH) supply may be flashing early warning signs of a potential market top, according to on-chain data from Glassnode. The analytics firm noted that LTH supply referring to wallets holding BTC for at least 155 days had risen steadily from 13.66 million in mid-March to a peak of 14.29 million. However, this figure has dipped for the second time this month, prompting caution among market observers.Adding to these concerns, LTH spending, measured by the movement of coins out of long-dormant wallets, has increased to 0.43. This level has historically been associated with local price tops, suggesting that some long-term holders may be beginning to take profits.#Bitcoin‘s LTH supply rose from 13.66M $BTC in mid-March to 14.29M $BTC, but recently ticked down again for the second time in May. LTH spending has also picked up to 0.43. These inflections can escalate quickly, often front-running local market tops – worth watching closely. pic.twitter.com/xqN0MkiOWS— glassnode (@glassnode) May 14, 2025Amid these signals, some analysts are forecasting a potential reversal in Bitcoin’s trend. Notably, Jacob King, an analyst at WhaleWire, shared with his 520,000 followers on X that Bitcoin appears to be forming a double top. This classic technical pattern has historically marked the end of major bull markets.King also contended that the recent rally was artificially sustained by insider manipulation and substantial Tether inflows rather than organic demand. He cautioned that the market is dangerously overvalued and warned of a looming crash.#Bitcoin‘s LTH supply rose from 13.66M $BTC in mid-March to 14.29M $BTC, but recently ticked down again for the second time in May. LTH spending has also picked up to 0.43. These inflections can escalate quickly, often front-running local market tops – worth watching closely. pic.twitter.com/xqN0MkiOWS— glassnode (@glassnode) May 14, 2025Despite these warnings, Bitcoin has demonstrated significant strength in recent weeks. After experiencing a 32% correction earlier this year, it rebounded sharply, rising from around $94,000 at the beginning of May to $105,747 by May 12, according to CoinGecko. This surge has been primarily driven by institutional interest.One key contributor to this rebound is Strategy, which added $1.34 billion worth of BTC to its portfolio on May 12 alone, bringing its total holdings to nearly 569,000 BTC.Strategy has acquired 13,390 BTC for ~$1.34 billion at ~$99,856 per bitcoin and has achieved BTC Yield of 15.5% YTD 2025. As of 5/11/2025, we hodl 568,840 $BTC acquired for ~$39.41 billion at ~$69,287 per bitcoin. $MSTR $STRK $STRF https://t.co/oSXRMwiTkU— Michael Saylor (@saylor) May 12, 2025In addition, Japan’s Metaplanet has continued to accumulate Bitcoin, recently increasing its stash by 1,241 BTC to reach a total of 6,796 BTC. Meanwhile, Bitcoin spot ETFs have also attracted strong investor interest, recording $1.94 billion in net inflows over the past month, according to data from SoSoValue. If you want to read more news articles like this, visit DeFi Planet and follow us on Twitter, LinkedIn, Facebook, Instagram, and CoinMarketCap Community.“Take control of your crypto portfolio with MARKETS PRO, DeFi Planet’s suite of analytics tools.”The post Bitcoin LTH Supply Drop Signals Possible Market Top appeared first on DeFi Planet.
You may also like

March 3rd Key Market Info Discrepancy - A Must-Read! | Alpha Morning Post
1. Top News: Trump Successfully Replicates 'Market Shutdown' Strategy, Crypto Assets and Tokenized Stocks See Strong Rebound
2. Token Unlock: None

IOSG: Making Probability an Asset, Forecasting Market Intelligence Agent
Predictive Market Oracle will begin to take shape in early 2026, poised to become a nascent product in the oracles space over the next year.

The US’s Back-Channel Helper in Attacking Iran, How Evil is Palantir
Palantir has once again used data to validate that unsettling logical loop: War is its best business development strategy

Key Market Intelligence on March 3rd, how much did you miss?
1. On-chain Volume: $34.0M USD inflow to Hyperliquid today; $29.3M USD outflow from Arbitrum
2. Biggest Gainers and Losers: $FAI, $ARC
3. Top News: Today, the crypto market rebounded against the trend, with a macro hedge whale holding long positions in gold and silver and shorting crypto, resulting in a $500k USD loss for the day

Interpreting the Anthropic vs. War Department Conflict: What Does Trump Intend to Do?
In the coming decades, our freedom may be more fragile than we think

Nasdaq Moves In, Predicts Market Has Reached Mainstream Inflection Point
Predictive trading is no longer just an experiment in the crypto space or a niche market but is starting to be integrated into the product suite of traditional trading platforms.

After a 48-hour ban, Claude reached the top of the App Store
Just the day before, ChatGPT was sitting right there

If this is the beginning of the triple halving, what are top investors saying about what to expect?
Hormuz Strait Blockade, Capital War, Oil and Bitcoin

After Iran's Political Risk Rises, Cryptocurrency Sees Massive Outflow
Following the airstrike, within minutes, Iran's largest cryptocurrency exchange, Nobitex, saw a 700% surge in cryptocurrency outflows.

Pantera Capital Partner: The Financial Trajectory of AI Agents
AI agents will move towards fully autonomous commerce, and blockchain is the only digital-native financial track that meets its needs for identity, micropayments, and trustless execution.

In the next 5 years, Vitalik will scale Ethereum like this
Short-Term vs Long-Term, Execution, Data vs State

Sam Altman and the End of the World Capitalism
The real danger is never AI itself, but those who believe they have the right to define the human destiny.

Wall Street Rings Inflation Alarm Bells Amid Iran Tensions, What Does It Mean for Cryptocurrency?
Interest rates have remained stubbornly high, posing a challenge to the cryptocurrency bull case.

Qwen Open Source Model Enters Mobile, Nasdaq Tests Water Prediction Market, What's the Overseas Crypto Community Talking About Today?
What Was the Hottest Topic Among Expats in the Last 24 Hours?

MegaETH Co-founder: 48 Hours After Escaping Dubai, I Reassess the Entire Crypto Scene
The global environment is not favorable to us, but in the long run, it may be favorable to us.

Morning Report | Strategy increased its holdings by 3,015 bitcoins last week; BitMine increased its holdings by 50,928 ETH last week; Vitalik elaborated on the Ethereum execution layer roadmap
March 2 Market Key Events Overview

Why is it said that there are structural opportunities in encrypted AI?
When centralized AI falls into the dilemma of regulation and trust, Crypto + AI will become a structural escape route for safeguarding data and sovereignty in a multipolar world.

Make Probability an Asset: A Forward-Looking Perspective on Predictive Market Agents
The predictive market agents are expected to present early prototypes in early 2026, likely becoming an emerging product form in the field of agents in the following year.
March 3rd Key Market Info Discrepancy - A Must-Read! | Alpha Morning Post
1. Top News: Trump Successfully Replicates 'Market Shutdown' Strategy, Crypto Assets and Tokenized Stocks See Strong Rebound
2. Token Unlock: None
IOSG: Making Probability an Asset, Forecasting Market Intelligence Agent
Predictive Market Oracle will begin to take shape in early 2026, poised to become a nascent product in the oracles space over the next year.
The US’s Back-Channel Helper in Attacking Iran, How Evil is Palantir
Palantir has once again used data to validate that unsettling logical loop: War is its best business development strategy
Key Market Intelligence on March 3rd, how much did you miss?
1. On-chain Volume: $34.0M USD inflow to Hyperliquid today; $29.3M USD outflow from Arbitrum
2. Biggest Gainers and Losers: $FAI, $ARC
3. Top News: Today, the crypto market rebounded against the trend, with a macro hedge whale holding long positions in gold and silver and shorting crypto, resulting in a $500k USD loss for the day
Interpreting the Anthropic vs. War Department Conflict: What Does Trump Intend to Do?
In the coming decades, our freedom may be more fragile than we think
Nasdaq Moves In, Predicts Market Has Reached Mainstream Inflection Point
Predictive trading is no longer just an experiment in the crypto space or a niche market but is starting to be integrated into the product suite of traditional trading platforms.