Bitcoin Price Analysis: Is BTC About to Break Below $100K After Recent Rejection?
By: cryptopotato|2025/05/15 15:00:10
0
Share
Bitcoin has recently approached its all-time high of $109K, demonstrating strong bullish momentum. However, the rally has temporarily paused, suggesting a potential consolidation or corrective phase before the next breakout attempt.Technical AnalysisThe Daily ChartBitcoin extended its sharp upward move after breaking above the key psychological resistance at $100K, climbing toward its all-time high of $109K. Yet, the bullish momentum has stalled at this critical region, with the price entering a brief consolidation. This resistance zone likely contains a substantial supply, as traders begin to realize profits and anticipate a corrective phase.Given the current market structure, a short-term retracement or sideways consolidation toward the $100K support level appears likely before any attempt at a decisive breakout above $109K to establish a new ATH.The 4-Hour ChartOn the 4-hour timeframe, Bitcoin’s weakness around the $109K resistance becomes more apparent. After testing this level, the price has gradually lost momentum, forming a consolidation pattern that resembles a potential double-top.Moreover, a clear bearish divergence between the price and the RSI suggests that sellers are gaining traction as bullish momentum fades. These signals point toward a likely short-term correction or consolidation around the $100K zone before the market regains strength for another breakout attempt.On-chain AnalysisBy ShayanMarketsWhile Bitcoin neared its all-time high around $109K, profit-taking activity is expected as traders look to secure gains. Consequently, BTC’s extended consolidation near ATH levels can largely be attributed to significant profit realization by market participants.However, the recent behavior of long-term holders (LTHs), investors who have held their assets for over 150 days, tells a different story, as reflected in the LTH SOPR (Spent Output Profit Ratio) metric.It has been trending downward even as the price approached the $109K range. This decline suggests that long-term holders have not yet engaged in notable profit-taking. Instead, they appear to be accumulating, signaling confidence in higher price targets and anticipating new all-time highs.Therefore, the current consolidation phase seems to be primarily driven by short-term holders and retail traders. Based on this behavior, Bitcoin is likely to resume its bullish trend following this pause, potentially leading to a fresh impulsive rally and new all-time highs in the mid-term. The post Bitcoin Price Analysis: Is BTC About to Break Below $100K After Recent Rejection? appeared first on CryptoPotato.
You may also like
From ByteDance to Financial Freedom: How did "Byte Brother" Leto develop his investment judgment skills to achieve a turnaround of 30 million?
Speak with data and signals, validate judgments with A/B tests, and seek asymmetric returns with limited risk exposure.
Trump, the best stock trader among U.S. presidents
Trump has almost turned the presidency into a business and maximized the conversion of presidential influence into commercial profits.
OUSD False Cooperation Controversy? The Credit Game of Stablecoins and Endorsements by Giants
The success of stablecoins does not rely on rallying a group of alliance members for marketing, but rather on whether they have real use cases and genuine users.
Selling coins despite a loss of 55 million dollars, the faith in Strategy has reached the interest payment date
The moment faith was securitized, Bitcoin became a bill.
Q-Day Countdown: Will Quantum Computing End Cryptocurrency?
In the face of dormant coins being plundered by quantum computing power, should we firmly uphold the unalterable bottom line of "code is law," or should we enforce a soft fork to freeze legacy assets?
The cryptocurrency industry has become a traditional industry
For entrepreneurs and retail investors still in this industry, they should either embrace the current changes or explore the next unpredictable field in cryptocurrency.
Chip frenzy cooling down? Morgan Stanley's Wilson: Funds are shifting towards AI supercomputing giants like Microsoft and Amazon
Morgan Stanley's chief equity strategist Wilson pointed out that the momentum in the semiconductor sector is waning, with the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index having dropped nearly 14% from its peak. Funds are shifting towards AI supercomputing giants like Microsoft, Amazon, and Meta, as well as sec...
$10,000 in TRUMP Token vs. $10,000 in Nasdaq: The "Trump Trade" That Actually Worked in 2026
TRUMP Token lost more than 96% after its launch, while Nasdaq stocks and NVIDIA delivered strong gains. Compare what happened to a $10,000 investment and explore why asset fundamentals matter more than market hype.
Morning Report | Vitalik outlines Ethereum's long-term roadmap, Lean Ethereum will become the third major iteration; SK Hynix seeks to attract more AI investors by listing in the U.S
July 5 Market Important Events Overview
The impact of OUSD on Circle, Tether, and Paxos: not a single negative factor, but a more complex reshaping of competition
OUSD will not be the last new competitor; Circle needs to respond more actively in terms of products, distribution, and ecosystem collaboration.
Li Feifei's latest long article: When video generation, robots, and NVIDIA all claim to be world models, we need a taxonomy
Language gives machines a way to talk about the world. The world model is the means by which machines ultimately understand, imagine, reason, and interact with it.
Blaming the desolation of the cryptocurrency world on the rise of AI is a form of intellectual laziness
The emergence of giants signifies a mature business model. Although it will reduce speculative space, there is also enough room for error, allowing for the continuous emergence of new forces.
Strategy Founder: The Next 10 Years of Bitcoin
In the next decade, the biggest evolution of Bitcoin is precisely "responding to change with invariance." The four-year cycle is giving way to capital flows such as ETFs, corporate and sovereign reserves, and bank credit, while digital credit and digital currency will grow layer upon layer on top of...
Forbes Special Report: Stablecoin cross-border payments are faster now, but not cheaper yet
Cross-border payments using stablecoins are rapidly expanding, bringing speed and accessibility, but due to insufficient institutional liquidity, they have not yet delivered on their promised cost savings. The technology has been validated, and regulations are improving, but the industry has not yet...
A valuation of 8 billion dollars, doubling in 8 months! What makes the crypto-friendly bank Erebor Bank stand out?
Erebor is a high-profile experiment taking place at the intersection of banking, cryptocurrency, and industrial policy.
340 billion valuation: Li Yanhong's largest IPO, a seat in Kunlunxin's shares is hard to come by
As a core asset in Baidu's AI landscape, Kunlun Chip is expected to exceed Baidu's market value after going public, becoming an important bargaining chip in its turnaround battle.
Stablecoins are the "royalists" of the crypto world: Open USD brings the old currency system into play
The emergence of Open USD has shifted the competition for stablecoins from the market struggle of crypto startups to a battle for infrastructure involving traditional finance, payment networks, technology platforms, and public chain ecosystems.
Cape Verde 2-3 Argentina: The Underdog Team That Stunned the World in Defeat
Cape Verde's run ended in a 3-2 defeat to Argentina, but their journey — three unbeaten draws, one heroic goalkeeper, and a fight that pushed the defending champions to the brink — is the kind of story markets recognize too: small caps can rattle blue chips long before anyone expects it.
From ByteDance to Financial Freedom: How did "Byte Brother" Leto develop his investment judgment skills to achieve a turnaround of 30 million?
Speak with data and signals, validate judgments with A/B tests, and seek asymmetric returns with limited risk exposure.
Trump, the best stock trader among U.S. presidents
Trump has almost turned the presidency into a business and maximized the conversion of presidential influence into commercial profits.
OUSD False Cooperation Controversy? The Credit Game of Stablecoins and Endorsements by Giants
The success of stablecoins does not rely on rallying a group of alliance members for marketing, but rather on whether they have real use cases and genuine users.
Selling coins despite a loss of 55 million dollars, the faith in Strategy has reached the interest payment date
The moment faith was securitized, Bitcoin became a bill.
Q-Day Countdown: Will Quantum Computing End Cryptocurrency?
In the face of dormant coins being plundered by quantum computing power, should we firmly uphold the unalterable bottom line of "code is law," or should we enforce a soft fork to freeze legacy assets?
The cryptocurrency industry has become a traditional industry
For entrepreneurs and retail investors still in this industry, they should either embrace the current changes or explore the next unpredictable field in cryptocurrency.
Customer Support:@weikecs
Business Cooperation:@weikecs
Quant Trading & MM:bd@weex.com
VIP Program:support@weex.com



