Data: Bitcoin and Ethereum options with a nominal value of $1.88 billion are set to expire

According to Greeks.live, options expiration data shows that 21,000 BTC options are expiring, with a Put Call Ratio of 0.66, a maximum pain point of $78,500, and a nominal value of $160 million; 129,000 ETH options are expiring, with a Put Call Ratio of 0.92, a maximum pain point of $2,200, and a nominal value of $280 million.

Analysis indicates that Bitcoin has ended a one-and-a-half-month rebound this week, but the market support remains strong. The market is relatively calm, with low attention; this week, less than 5% of BTC options are expiring, and similarly, only 5% of ETH options are expiring. The delivery volume for BTC is not large, with the maximum pain point close to the current price, resulting in a stronger Gamma/pin effect near delivery; the delivery volume for ETH is only half of last week’s, and the current price is below the maximum pain point. The brief increase in the proportion of ETH options this month has ended, and the short-term implied volatility is likely to decline after delivery.

From the main options data, the Skew continues to decline slightly, with the implied volatility for major maturities significantly dropping compared to last week, with a decrease exceeding that of realized volatility, and the volatility risk premium has increased. The implied volatility for major Bitcoin maturities has fallen below 35%, while the implied volatility for major ETH maturities has fallen below 50%, with even lower levels in the short term. Block trades are primarily structured, with large whales continuously building short-term low-cost protective positions, and volatility expectations are low, leading to overall market activity being below expectations.