From Developer Ecosystem to Supply Chain, Solana's "AI Ecosystem Strategy"

By: blockbeats|2025/01/02 10:00:04
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Editor's Note:

The author's first article about the Griffain and SendAI hackathon was written on December 13, when the Solana hackathon and Griffain were gaining popularity, causing a wealth effect on Solana. Today, with the full-scale outbreak of the AI market, Griffain's market value has reached an all-time high, exceeding $480 million. The SendAI token, Send, has also returned to a $100 million market value. In the highly evolving AI Agent ecosystem, what advantages and progress do Griffain and Send have?

Web3 Edition Perplexity, or Solana's App Store?

When we look back at the founder of Griffain, we find that he did not originally join Crypto but spent 6 years growing in Silicon Valley, accumulating significant development and sales experience before entering Crypto.

In September 2016, a young man from San Francisco State University pushed open the doors of Uber. And if it weren't for coincidence, you might never have known him until recently when the token of his project on the Solana chain surpassed $250 million in market value. He is Tony Plasencia, the founder of Graffin.

Unlike other cryptocurrency founders who often hide their personal information, you can easily find any information about him online. Even now, you can see his views on various social phenomena on Medium. After leaving Uber, he participated in and invested in many startups, including the famous VC-backed American household service website Thumbtack and the food ordering platform Ritual.

From Developer Ecosystem to Supply Chain, Solana's

After many twists and turns, in 2022, he founded his first blockchain project (Underdog Protocol). Although it now appears to be a platform for no-code issuance of NFTs and SPL Tokens, the initial intention of the founding was to finance his future as a token, much like the Human Agent investment platform. Although this project did not cause a stir in the market, it was also his first foray into blockchain entrepreneurship.

His second stop was during the Blinks ecosystem boom, where he developed a platform to launch Blinks tokens and NFTs—Blinkdotfun. By locking the Sol used for buying and selling tokens in a Bonding Curve to reflect the token's market value fluctuations, users could share links on X, enabling others to directly buy or sell tokens on X, turning X into his launch platform.

And Griffain, released on November 1st this year, has become Tony's most successful Crypto project to date. He first introduced Griffain at the Hacking for Agentic Finance hackathon, with a vision to turn your ideas into actionable AI agents. Perhaps due to the accumulation of previous projects, Griffain quickly gained significant attention within the Solana ecosystem, with projects like Toly, vvAIfu, Jupiter, and Dialect expressing support or further collaboration to enhance the product.

The current stage of the CryptoAI project is developing rapidly, but it also faces significant differentiation. When discussing the AI Agent market, funding is primarily allocated to different areas: the upstream focuses on the architecture and ecosystem of AI agents or a hive system that allows agent aggregation, the midstream emphasizes AI agents with market influence, and the downstream focuses on AI apps with real application value or rapidly growing data set displays.

Griffain, as an all-in-one AI agent, covers the entire supply chain from upstream to downstream. Serving as an integrated AI app rather than a development framework, Griffain functions as a Perplexity-style AI agent directory. When a user makes a request, Griffain can summon an agent capable of fulfilling that request. This approach not only attracts attention to the AI agents launched on its platform but also bypasses the product and demand-side development extension step, directly connecting developers and users. This creates a kind of "SaaS" platform similar to an AI agent.

Just a few days ago, Griffain introduced the concept of SAIMP (Solana AI Message Protocol), which is akin to an on-chain communication system between AI agents. The exchangeable information includes sender/receiver addresses, topics, content, and more. Many experts or users believe that AI agents lack self-awareness and are merely algorithmic systems, making a communication system between them quite useless.

However, for the next cycle of AI agents, the ability to verify all data on-chain is crucial. The Tee architecture ensures that AI agents are not manipulated by humans but can act based on self-awareness. What SAIMP aims to achieve is to make communication between AI agents transparent or verifiable (like "private chats" between agents). More than functionality, storing and verifying information exchanged among multiple intelligent agents is a key feature.

It is also not difficult to imagine why the market has such high expectations for Griffain. Not only is it the first Web3 version of Perplexity, but more importantly, this platform provides an AI Agent with a platform for upstream and downstream interaction. Not only can it reduce the communication cost between AI Agents and humans, but functional transactions and communication between AI Agents can also be initiated by this AIpp Store. It is not only a human's App Store but also an AI's App Store.

It's All the Rage, Solana Also Has its Own 'Preferred Agent Kit'

If we say that when Solana announced the hackathon hosted by SendAI, its token market value surged to $170 million, it was a reflection of the market's anticipatory mood. Today, Send's return to a $130 million market value is a true acknowledgment of the potential of its AI ecosystem.

Those familiar with Send know that when Solana introduced the Blinks concept, he almost replaced the official display of the use of 100 blinks on X, with two components making up Blinks, Actions and Blinks. Actions provide compliant APIs to quickly complete transfers, execute smart contracts, and other operations, while Blinks convert APIs into shareable links, allowing users to preview and trigger on-chain transactions directly on a webpage or social platform.

So, from a technical development standpoint, there is no more suitable team than the Send team, familiar with developing and applying blinks, to develop the infrastructure of the Solana AI Agent. With their rich on-chain interaction APIs and experience in making them interoperable with multi-web clients, their Agent kit not only supports a fusion of multiple language architectures but also supports multiple interaction modes embedding 'Dialect's blinks' and 'Send Arcade's games.' Agents using their tools can more easily interact with the blockchain or social media.

And the hackathon hosted by Send AI stopped accepting submissions a few days ago, with 427 projects successfully proposed in the end. In just a few weeks since the Solana Agent Kit was announced, there have been as many as 65 projects developed using the Solana Agent Kit. Furthermore, countless projects that did not participate in the competition but used this tool after the list closed, by the end of 2024, the star count of this open-source architecture had far exceeded Zerepy and Coinbase's CDP Agent Kit.

This is how the infrastructure of Solana, chosen for its high throughput and corresponding speed, has been prepared for various DePin projects to provide computing power and datasets, AI Agent basic tools such as Solana Agent Kit, Zerepy, ElizaOS, arc, etc., and all-in-one tools like griffain. AI Agent developers only need to unleash all their imagination to find possible use cases for users. With the infrastructure, the supply side, and the use case channels, a complete supply chain cycle is completed. This is Solana's strategy, and it will also be the most efficient way for Crypto AI to generate output.

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$COIN Joins S&P 500, but Coinbase Isn't Celebrating

On May 13, S&P Dow Jones Indices announced that Coinbase would officially replace Discover Financial Services in the S&P 500 on May 19. While other companies like Block and MicroStrategy, closely tied to Bitcoin, were already part of the S&P 500, Coinbase became the first cryptocurrency exchange whose primary business is in the index. This also signifies that cryptocurrency is gradually moving from the fringes to the mainstream in the U.S.



On the day of the announcement, Coinbase's stock price surged by 23%, surpassing the $250 mark. However, just 3 days later, Coinbase was hit by two consecutive events: a hack where employees were bribed to steal customer data and a demand for a $20 million ransom, and an investigation by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) into the authenticity of its claim of having over 100 million "verified users" in its securities filings and marketing materials. These two events acted as mini-bombs, and at the time of writing, Coinbase's stock had already dropped by over 7.3%.


Coincidentally, Discover Financial Services, being replaced by Coinbase, can also be considered the "Coinbase" of the previous payment era. Discover is a U.S.-based digital banking and payment services company headquartered in Illinois, founded in 1960. Its payment network, Discover Network, is the fourth largest payment network apart from Visa, Mastercard, and American Express.


In April, after the approval of the acquisition of Discover by the sixth-largest U.S. bank, Capital One, this well-established digital banking company of over 60 years smoothly handed over its S&P 500 "seat" to this emerging cryptocurrency "bank." This unexpected coincidence also portrayed the handover between the new and old eras in Coinbase's entry into the S&P 500, resembling a relay race scene. However, this relay baton also brought Coinbase's accumulated "external troubles and internal strife" to a tipping point.


Side Effects of ETFs


Over the past decade, cryptocurrency exchanges have been the most stable "profit machines." They play a role in providing liquidity to the entire industry and rely on trading fees to sustain their operations. However, with the comprehensive rollout of ETF products in the U.S. market, this profit model is facing unprecedented challenges. As the leader in the "American stack," with over 80% of its business coming from the U.S., Coinbase is most affected by this.



Starting from the approval of Bitcoin and Ethereum spot ETFs, traditional financial capital has significantly onboarded users and funds that originally belonged to exchanges in a more cost-effective, compliant, and transparent manner. The transaction fee revenue of cryptocurrency exchanges has started to decline, and this trend may further intensify in the coming months.


According to Coinbase's 2024 Q4 financial report, the platform's total trading revenue was $417 million, a 45% year-on-year decrease. The contribution of BTC and ETH's trading revenue dropped from 65% in the same period last year to less than 50%.


This decline is not a result of a decrease in market enthusiasm. In fact, since the approval of the Bitcoin ETF in January 2024, the inflow of BTC into the U.S. market has continued to reach new highs, with asset management giants like BlackRock and Fidelity rapidly expanding their management scale. Data shows that BlackRock's iShares Bitcoin ETF (IBIT) alone has surpassed $17 billion in assets under management. As of mid-May 2025, the cumulative net inflow of 11 major institutional Bitcoin spot ETFs on the market has exceeded $41.5 billion, with a total net asset value of $1214.69 billion, accounting for approximately 5.91% of the total Bitcoin market capitalization.


Chart showing the trend of net outflows for Grayscale among the 11 institutions


Institutional investors and some retail investors are shifting towards ETF products, partly due to compliance and tax considerations. On one hand, ETFs have much lower trading costs compared to cryptocurrency exchanges. While Coinbase's spot trading fee rate varies annually in a tiered manner but averages around 1.49%, for example, the management fee for IBIT ETF is only 0.25%, and the majority of ETF institution fees fluctuate around 0.15% to 0.25%.



In other words, the more rational users are, the more likely they are to move from exchanges to ETF products, especially for investors aiming for long-term holdings.


According to multiple sources, several institutions, including VanEck and Grayscale, have submitted applications to the SEC for a Solana (SOL) ETF, with some institutions also planning to submit an XRP ETF proposal. Once approved, this may trigger a new round of fund migration. According to a report submitted by Coinbase to the SEC, as of April, the platform's trading revenue from XRP and Solana accounted for 18% and 10%, nearly one-third of the platform's fee revenue.



However, the Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs passed in 2024 also reduced the fees for these two tokens on Coinbase from 30% and 15% to 26% and 10%, respectively. If the SOL and XRP ETFs are approved, it will further undermine the core fee revenue of exchanges like Coinbase.


The expansion of ETF products is gradually weakening the financial intermediary status of cryptocurrency exchanges. From their original roles as matchmakers and clearers to now gradually becoming mere "on-ramps and off-ramps" for funds, exchanges are seeing their marginal value squeezed by ETFs.


Robinhood Takes a Stand, Traditional Brokerages Join the Fray


On May 12, 2025, SEC Chairman Paul S. Atkins gave a keynote speech at the Tokenization and Cryptocurrency Working Group roundtable. The theme of his speech revolved around "It is a new day at the SEC," where he indicated that the SEC would not approach enforcement and regulation the same way as before but would instead pave the way for cryptocurrency assets in the U.S. market.



With signs of cryptocurrency compliance such as the SEC's "NEW DAY" declaration, an increasing number of traditional brokerages are attempting to enter the cryptocurrency industry. One of the most representative cases is the well-known U.S. brokerage Robinhood, which began expanding its crypto business in 2018. By the time of its IPO in 2021, Robinhood's crypto business revenue accounted for over 50% of the company, with a significant boost from the Dogecoin "moonshot" promoted by Musk.


In Q1 2025 earnings report, Robinhood showcased strong growth, especially in revenue from cryptocurrency and options trading. Fueled by Trump's Memecoin, cryptocurrency-related revenue reached $250 million, nearly doubling year-over-year. Consequently, Robinhood Gold subscription users reached 3.5 million, a 90% increase from the previous year, with the rapid growth of Robinhood Gold providing the company with a stable source of income.



Meanwhile, RobinHood is actively pursuing acquisitions in the cryptocurrency space. In 2024, it announced a $2 billion acquisition of the long-standing European cryptocurrency exchange Bitstamp. Additionally, Canada's largest cryptocurrency CEX, WonderFi, which recently went public on the Toronto Stock Exchange, also announced its integration with RobinHood Crypto. After obtaining virtual asset licenses in the UK, Canada, Singapore, and other markets, RobinHood has taken a proactive approach in the compliant cryptocurrency trading market.



Furthermore, an increasing number of brokerage firms are exploring the same path. Futu Securities, Tiger Brokers, and others are also dipping their toes into cryptocurrency trading, with some having applied for or obtained the VA license from the Hong Kong SFC. Although their user bases are currently small, traditional brokerages have a natural advantage in user trust, regulatory licenses, and low fee structures. This could pose a threat to native cryptocurrency platforms in the future.



User Data Breach: Is Coinbase Still Secure?


In April 2025, security researchers discovered that some Coinbase user data was leaked on the dark web. While the platform initially responded by attributing it to a "technical misinformation," it still raised concerns among users regarding its security and privacy protection. Just two days before Dow Jones Indexes announced Coinbase's addition to the S&P 500 Index, on May 11, 2025, Coinbase received an email from an unknown threat actor claiming to have obtained customer account information and internal documents, demanding a $20 million ransom to keep the data private. Subsequent investigations confirmed the data breach.


Cybercriminals obtained the data by bribing overseas customer service agents and support staff, mainly in "non-U.S. regions such as India." These agents abused their access to Coinbase's internal customer support system and stole customer data. As early as February this year, blockchain detective ZachXBT revealed on X platform that between December 2024 and January 2025, Coinbase users lost over $65 million to social engineering scams, with the actual amount potentially higher.


Among the victims was a well-known figure, 67-year-old Ed Suman, an established artist in the art world for nearly two decades, having been involved in the creation of artworks such as Jeff Koons' "Balloon Dog" sculpture. Earlier this year, he fell victim to an impersonation scam involving fake Coinbase customer support, resulting in a loss of over $2 million in cryptocurrency. ZachXBT critiqued Coinbase for its inadequate handling of such scams, noting that other major exchanges have not faced similar issues and recommending Coinbase to enhance its security measures.


Amidst a series of ongoing social engineering incidents, although there has not been any impact on user assets at the technical level so far, it has raised concerns among many retail and institutional investors. Especially institutions holding massive assets on Coinbase. Just considering the U.S. BTC ETF institutions, as of mid-May 2025, they collectively hold nearly 840,000 BTC, and 75% of these are custodied by Coinbase. If we price BTC at $100,000, this amount reaches a staggering $63 billion, which is equivalent to the nominal GDP of two Iceland in the year 2024.


Visualization: ChatGPT, Source: Farside


In addition, Coinbase Custody also serves over 300 institutional clients, including hedge funds, family offices, pension funds, and endowments. As of the Q1 2025 financial report, Coinbase's total assets under management (including institutional and retail clients) reached $404 billion. The specific amount of institutional custodied assets was not explicitly disclosed in the latest report, but it should still be over 50% based on the Q4 2024 report.


Visualization: ChatGPT


Once this security barrier is breached, not only could the rate of user attrition far exceed expectations, but more importantly, institutional trust in it would undermine the foundation of its business. Therefore, after a hacking event, Coinbase's stock price plummeted significantly.


CEXs are All in Self-Rescue Mode


Facing a decline in spot trading fee revenue, Coinbase is also accelerating its transformation, attempting to find growth opportunities in derivatives and emerging assets. Coinbase acquired a stake in the options platform Deribit at the end of 2024 and announced the official launch of perpetual contract products in 2025. This acquisition fills in Coinbase's gap in options trading and its relatively small global market share.



Deribit has a strong presence in non-U.S. markets, especially in Asia and Europe. The acquisition has enabled Coinbase to gain a dominant position in bitcoin and ethereum options trading on Deribit, accounting for approximately 80% of the global options trading volume, with daily trading volume remaining above $2 billion.


Meanwhile, 80-90% of Deribit's customer base consists of institutional investors, with their professionalism and liquidity in the Bitcoin and Ethereum options market highly favored by institutions. Coinbase's compliance advantage, coupled with its already robust institutional ecosystem, makes it even more suitable. By using institutions as an entry point, it can face the squeeze from giants like Binance and OKX in the derivatives market.



Facing a similar dilemma is Kraken, which is attempting to replicate Binance Futures' model in non-U.S. markets. Since the derivatives market relies more on professional users, fee rates are relatively higher and stickiness is stronger, making it a significant source of revenue for exchanges. In the first half of 2025, Kraken completed the acquisition of TradeStation Crypto and a futures exchange, aiming to build a complete derivatives trading ecosystem to hedge the risk of declining spot transaction fee income.


With the surge of Memecoin in 2024, Binance, OKX, and various CEX platforms began massively listing small-market-cap, highly volatile tokens to activate active trading users. Due to the wealth effect and trading activity of Memecoins, Coinbase was also forced to join the battle, successively listing popular tokens from the Solana ecosystem such as BOOK OF MEME and Dogwifhat. Although these coins are controversial, they are frequently traded, with fee rates several times higher than mainstream coins, serving as a "blood-boosting" method for spot trading.


However, due to its status as a publicly traded company, this practice is a riskier endeavor for Coinbase. Even in the current crypto-friendly environment, the SEC is still investigating whether tokens like SOL, ADA, and SAND constitute securities.


In addition to the forced transformation strategies carried out by the aforementioned CEXs, they are also starting to lay out RWAs and the most talked-about stablecoin payment fields, such as the PYUSD launched through a collaboration between Coinbase and Paypal, Coinbase's support for the Euro stablecoin EURC by Circle that complies with EU MiCA regulatory requirements, or the USD1 launched through a collaboration between Binance and WIFL. In the increasingly crowded trading field, many CEXs have shifted their focus from just the trading market to the application field.


The golden age of transaction fees has quietly ended, and the second half of the crypto exchange platform game has silently begun.


Key Market Insights for May 16th, how much did you miss out on?

1. On-chain Flows: $111.3M inflow to Ethereum this week; $237.6M outflow from Berachain 2. Largest Price Swings: $ETHFI, $NEIRO 3. Top News: Data: Solana Network's revenue reached $7.9M on the 13th, surpassing the sum of all other L1 and L2 chains

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